While global markets are restored to negotiate expectations between the United States and China, the eyes have turned into an interest rate decision of the US Federal Bank (Fed) next week. Inflation data will be monitored next week in Türkiye.
The decline trend appeared last week.
The Bist 100 in Borsa Istanbul lost 2.81 percent of the week and completed 9,167.58 points. Last week, President Recep Tayyip Erdogan and the general press conference of Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni at the Türkiye-Antaly business forum “Türkiye-Antaly Internal Summit statement” announced. 11 agreements have been signed between Türkiye and Italy in the field of trade, industrial investment, space, culture, sports, social services, archives, transportation and defense industry.
New steps The decisions of the Ministry of Finance and Finance and the Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye (CBRT) have been effective. Accordingly, until July 31, 2025, the request for export price has increased to 35 %, while supporting foreign exchange conversion has increased to 3 %. With the amendments made by CBRT within the scope of the necessary application, TL's goals share for the deposit that has been recreated. Foreign currency deposits and domestic residents in foreign currency repo transactions have been increased. In addition, the interest rate and compensation rate paid to Lira Turkish requirements have increased. Recently, increasing foreign currency deposits is mainly due to trade deposits. Sharing Lira of Türkiye is expected to increase in the banking system with new steps.
Inflation will be announced on Thursday On the other hand, the survey of expected data on inflation data in April, will be published by AA Finans by AA Finans on Monday, May 5, leading to the participation of 17 economists. The average of economists participating in the survey is 3.24 % of the average inflation expectation in April. The expectation of economic inflation for April takes place from 2.75 percent to 3.80 percent. According to the average of the expectation of April of economists (3.24 %), the annual inflation, 38.10 %in the previous month, is expected to increase to 38.18 %. However, the dollar/TL has been closed from 38,5770 on a weekly basis with an increase of 0.39 percent. Next week in Türkiye's second inflation, the third consumer price index (CPI) is based on the real effective exchange rate, the cash balance of the fifth treasury, the sixth industrial production data will be monitored. While all new news on this issue is solved at the focus of investors, macroeconomic data, especially growth in the United States, took place ahead.
The steps of the Fed are curious Last week, the US economy was narrowed for the first time since 2022, while the steps of the Fed, who carefully follow the future data between the awkward situation of inflation research, has resolved the focus of investors. After announcing monetary policy decisions next week, the words of President Jerome Powell will be closely monitored. Prices in the money market revealed that the Fed will leave policy benefits next week. After performing non -cultural employment data on expectations and constant unemployment, predictions related to the first interest rate cut of the year will weaken in June and forecast July has achieved strength.
Trade war between the United States and China On the other hand, news about the news that the US and China can turn to dialogue as one of the outstanding developments. The Chinese Ministry of Commerce stated that it has evaluated the possible agreements between the two parties after US President Donald Trump declared their customs missions. With statements from official channels, hope that the United States and China may agree on trade increases. In macroeconomic data, the US Department of Commerce announced the pioneering data of the gross domestic product (GDP) in 2025 for the period of January to March. Accordingly, GDP in the United States has decreased by 0.3 % each year in the first quarter of the year. During this period, the US economy is expected to increase by 0.2 %.
It miniatures for the first time since 2022 The country's economy has narrowed its first time since the first quarter of 2022. In the United States, the economy showed that the growth efficiency was 2.4 % in the last quarter of 2024 and 2.8 % in general last year. In the first quarter of the year, the increase in imports and reducing public spending is effective. US President Donald Trump said the figures reflect the time of former US President Joe Biden. Non -agricultural jobs in the United States increased by 177 thousand in April, while the unemployment rate did not change while 4.2 %. It is hoped that non -agricultural work, leaving the market expectations, will increase by 138,000 people. At the same time, the average weekly working time does not change and is 34.3. The US Central Bank (Fed) carefully monitored the average hourly income increased by 0.2 % to $ 36.06. In the light of these developments last week, the bond market dominated the bond market last week, while the US 10 -year bond interest was completed with 4.31 %. The price of gold ounce, weekly facilities, 2.3 percent value of $ 3,000, while the dollar index, up 0.5 % at 100 levels. Last week, the price of Brent oil barrel fell 6.9 % and found buyers for $ 61.3. Active course at New York Stock Exchange The New York Stock Exchange appeared last week. The S&P 500 index is 2.92 %weekly, the NASDAQ is 3.45 %and the DOW Jones index increases by 3 %. The financial statements published by important companies last week took effect in the revival of risk cravings in the market. Microsoft's technology giant's income increased by 13 % in January to March and META's income increased by 16 %. Microsoft's income increased by 13 % to $ 70.1 billion compared to the same period last year in January to March. Microsoft earned $ 61.9 billion in the same period last year. The company's net profit increased by 18 % in the same period to $ 25.8 billion. The company's net profit was recorded as $ 21.9 billion in the same period last year. The leading Microsoft CEO (CEO) Satya Nadella, the company's balance sheet in cloud assessment and artificial intelligence, each business to increase output, reduce costs and accelerate growth, he said. Nadella, artificial intelligence infrastructure and platform for applications, in each innovation class, they provide the best service to customers, he said. Meta, the owner of Facebook, Instagram and WhatsApp, increased their income to $ 42.3 billion with an increase of 16 % over the same period last year. Meta earned $ 36.5 billion in the same period last year. The company's income in this period is the expectations in the market. Meta's net profit increased by 35 percent in the first quarter of this year to US $ 16.6 billion. The company announced a profit of $ 12.4 billion in the same period last year. Apple has increased its revenue to 5 % on the basis of three months and increased to 95.4 billion USD. The company's net profit was recorded at 24.8 billion dollars in the same time. Apple Top Manager (CEO) Tim Cook, the company's balance sheet after announcing the conference meeting with the effect of tariffs evaluating their expectations. In the quarter ending in June, Cook said that they could not fully predict the impact of tariffs due to uncertainty. Evaluate. Amazon's net revenue increased by 9 percent to $ 155.7 billion compared to the same period last year in the first quarter of this year. The company's net revenue was recorded as $ 143.3 billion in the first quarter of last year. Amazon's net profit increased to $ 17.1 billion in the first quarter of the year. In the new week, the purchase index of S&P Global Global and ISM service service (PMI), foreign trade balance on Tuesday, deciding the interest rate of the Fed, the speech of the Fed Powell, wholesale stocks on Thursday, weekly unemployment applications will be complied. European securities exchange about buying weight Last week, the optimism for tariff talks in Europe, the news of the Russian-Ukraine war was closely monitored, the eyes were turned into a monetary policy decision of the central bank (BoE) in the new week. Macroeconomic data was followed by the Euro regional economy of the week, in the first quarter of the year compared to the previous quarter increased by 0.4 %. The market expectation is that the GDP in the Euro area will increase by 0.2 % in a quarter of a quarter and 1 % on the basis of the year. It is noteworthy that the data is published to higher than the market expectations. Annual inflation in the euro area does not change at 2.2 % in April. The market expectation is that the annual inflation will be 2.1 % in April. The unemployment rate in the area maintained 6.2 % in March. The unemployment rate in March is 10.9 % in Spain, 9.1 % in Finland, 9 % in Greece and 8.8 in Sweden. The number of unemployed in the EU was counted as 12 million 90,000 in March, while 10 million 818 thousand people took place in the euro area. The purchase management index of the manufacturing industry (PMI) in the euro area shows the fastest increase in the past three years in April and 49 points. On the other hand, the reason for the disruption of the news flow of power outages in the area is under investigation. According to the Spanish news agency EFE, the investigation committee of the cause of interruption, the electricity companies initially received most of the required information. Despite the “technical complexity” in accessing some data, electrical companies continue to prepare to provide these data to the committee. With these developments, the Cac 40 index in France on the basis of 3.11 %, FTSE 100 in the UK is 2.11 %, MIB 30 in Italy is 2.62 %and the DAX 40 index in Germany increases by 3.76 %. The data agenda will be announced next week on Tuesday, the production price index (PPI), the service industry of Hamburg Commercial Bank (HCOB) PMI, retail sales in the fourth Euro area, orders in Germany, industrial production in Germany, deciding on the interest rate of BoE in the UK will be complied. The market in the UK will be closed due to the holiday on Monday.